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An Experimental Control
Stephanie believes that the pills helped her to learn and remember her chemistry, but we don't know what grade she would have gotten on the exam without the pills. In order to decide if the pills improved memory, we need a double blind study in which many students (selected by flipping a coin or some other random method) receive the memory pills (this is the experimental group) and other students receive pills that look like the memory pills, but really are "sugar pills" or placebos. This is the control group. The participants should not know which pills they are getting so their beliefs don't affect the results. The experimenters should also not know who is getting the memory pills or the placebo so that their expectations don't affect the results either. Every participant in both of the groups would then take the same memory test. What results would you expect if the memory pills really worked? What if they didn't?
Of course, people are different in how much they remember, so we expect that some will score high on the memory test and some low. The evidence for or against the memory pills comes in comparing the average scores between the two groups.
You would need an answer to the following questions in order to decide if the memory pills "worked."
So far, we don't have the answer to any of these important questions. So, what can we conclude, based on the information we have so far?
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